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A Markov Chain Model for Rainfall Occurrence in Pakistan [Med J Islamic World Acad Sci]
Med J Islamic World Acad Sci. 1991; 4(2): 173-178

A Markov Chain Model for Rainfall Occurrence in Pakistan

Faqir Muhammad, Ghulam Nabi
From Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Agri. Meteorology University of Agriculture, Faisalabad, Pakistan.

The rainfall probabilities for four locations; Faisalabad, Lahore, Islamabad and Murree in Pakistan, have been calculated by the method of Markov chains using the threshold values of 10 mm/decade. A program written in GWBASIC calculates these probabilities. The probabilities of dry spells for Faisalabad and Lahore are higher than the Islamabad and Murree for all the 36 decades of a year using the data of 45 years for Faisalabad, 39 for each Lahore and Islamabad and 44 years for Murree.

Keywords: Rainfall probabilities, markov chains, Faisalabad, Lahore, Islamabad, Murree

Faqir Muhammad, Ghulam Nabi. A Markov Chain Model for Rainfall Occurrence in Pakistan. Med J Islamic World Acad Sci. 1991; 4(2): 173-178

Corresponding Author: Faqir Muhammad, Pakistan

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